I don't know, Eric! This time around, Don Trump is not an unknown quantity. Sure, he'll pick up his base again, but how many are going to give him a chance, now that they know how incompetent he is?
In Australia, there's a saying that Oppositions don't win elections, Governments lose them. Sure Clinton was smug and "business as usual" in 2016, but in 2020, I think Jo Biden just has to not be Trump to win.
In a fair campaign, and Trump is doing everything he can to make it unfair.